Federal Reserve Will Fail With Quantitative Easing

by Trace Mayer, J.D. on March 18, 2009 · 22 comments

Federal Reserve Will Fail With Quantitative Easing

Reading time: 3 – 4 minutes

Quantitative easing; everybody is doing it like the Bank of England, Japan and even Switzerland.  Quantitative easing is a tool of monetary policy.  The effect is an increase in the quantity of currency without regard to maintaining its quality.  Quantitative is relating to, measuring, or measured by the quantity of something rather than its quality.  On 18 March 2009 Bloomberg reported that the Federal Reserve announced the intent to purchase $300B of longer-term Treasuries.  Predictably, the Federal Reserve has decided to exacerbate the quantitative easing party.   This has an effective on quantitative finance.

What is really going on is the great credit contraction.  The system does not collapse but evaporate. As the evaporation has continued and intensified capital, both real and fictitious, has sought safer and more liquid assets by moving down the liquidity pyramid.  A significant, but still miniscule amount, of capital has already evaporated over the past year.  This is basic economic law being asserted.  A predictable consequence has been for Treasury rates to near 0% because they are considered among the safest and most liquid assets.

But the United States Treasury bubble is the biggest of all and there are reasons how and why the Treasury bubble will burst.

At all times and in all circumstances gold remains money. Gold is the ultimate form of payment and is always accepted.  Gold is the safest and most liquid asset.  As I surgically explained, the ETFs GLD and SLV are NOT gold or silver.  The question then becomes:  Will capital move up or down the liquidity pyramid?

How did gold perform in reaction to Bernanke’s announcement?  A monstrous and almost immediate rise of about $60 per ounce.  The gold cartel GATA has shined a light on must of had its hands full today.  This is all the more ominous because gold is not just a commodity or portfolio asset but a currency which, through tools like GoldMoney, can be used in ordinary daily transactions.  Because silver is also money; the chronic silver backwardation is equally if not more ominous.

I have long asserted that the FRN$ will be the last major fiat currency to evaporate in the great credit contraction and that gold will still be there when the next credit expansion begins.  This misguided action by Mr. Bernanke will only hasten the rate of evaporation.  The great credit contraction has just begun and in the aggregate capital will continue moving down, not up, the liquidity pyramid.

Federal Reserve Will Fail With Quantitative Easing

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR: Trace Mayer, J.D., author of The Great Credit Contraction holds a degree in Accounting, a law degree from California Western School of Law and studies the Austrian school of economics. He works as an entrepreneur, investor, journalist and monetary scientist. He is a strong advocate of the freedom of speech, a member of the Society of Professional Journalists and the San Diego County Bar Association. He has appeared on ABC, NBC, BNN, radio shows and presented at many investment conferences throughout the world. This is merely one article of 197 by Trace Mayer, J.D..

The Great Credit Contraction

22 comments

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{ 6 comments… read them below or add one }

1 Joe March 18, 2009 at 5:00 pm

As long as the Fed intervenes in stocks and currency I refuse to play the game and will stick with gold and silver on the sideline. Not gonna play games any more.

2 Jason Hamlin March 18, 2009 at 6:50 pm

Great article Trace. I agree completely. The Fed will not be able to soak up all of the dollars it prints and inflation will ensue. Today was a big day.

3 Marc Authier March 18, 2009 at 8:00 pm

Wow! Whee! Graphically terrifying.

4 Finian March 19, 2009 at 6:01 am

Nice graph – it would be appropriate to be more transparent on your estimates though.

5 hank green Berg March 19, 2009 at 10:28 am

Gt!
whats under gold? Lead, depleted Ur.
Caves. Barter. Mad Maxxxx….

6 joe April 3, 2009 at 5:36 pm

good times for gold and silver but not for me for my son he is 4 and he need some thing a littel more than green back so silver and gold is the way to go

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